Based on REAL, ACTUAL and RECENT Seattle history, should we not be concerned about "likelihoods" or "tendencies" or just common sense caution or should we just "go along and get along?" ❋ Unknown (2006)
It has been developed to a complex web of "likelihoods", all of which are assigned fake "probability" levels. posted by GayandRight @ 9:31 AM ❋ GayandRight (2007)
"Our analysis of the ... models suggest that the NASH system will likely intensify, expand and move further westward in the 21st century with the increase of CO2 [carbon dioxide], indicating increased likelihoods of both extreme rainfall events and droughts over the SE US in the future," the study states. ❋ Andrew Freedman (2010)
First I have these conversations with world-class scientists who calmly lay out the scientific view of the various risks posed by climate change and their relative scale and likelihoods. ❋ Unknown (2009)
Obviously there will be some unknowns, but if you combine those unknowns with current certainties and future likelihoods, you'll probably have more than enough information to support a rational decision. ❋ Unknown (2011)
Sean Simko , who oversees $7 billion in fixed-income assets at SEI Investments Co. in Oaks, Pa., says Friday's better-than-expected jobs report reduced the likelihoods that the Fed will institute a third round of its Treasury bond-buying program, giving the Fed "some breathing room" going into next week's monetary policy meeting. ❋ Min Zeng (2011)
This is due both to the sparsity of the data (quarterly data do not give us the luxury of many observations that micro panels provide) and to the flexibility of DSGE models in generating similar behavior with relatively different combination of parameter values (every time you see a sensitivity analysis claiming that the results of the paper are robust to changes in parameter values, think about flat likelihoods). and another: ❋ Unknown (2009)
For more than an hour in his office, Van Hollen and company conversed in campaign argot about persuasion universes, swing universes, plussing up, snowbirds, enthusiasm gaps, persuasion IDs and statistical likelihoods. ❋ Jason Horowitz (2010)
More pointedly, likelihoods of DSGE models are full of local maxima and minima and of nearly flat surfaces. ❋ Unknown (2009)
When you advise a client, you must ALWAYS indicate that you are dealing with probabilities and likelihoods. ❋ Unknown (2010)
We want to know the likelihoods of the possible causes. ❋ Raymond Zhong (2011)
The human brain is a statistical manipulator in that it detects patterns and likelihoods from a large collection of observations. ❋ Unknown (2010)
It is impossible to assign likelihoods to these or any other GHG emissions scenario. ❋ Unknown (2010)
If the difference in likelihoods is big enough, one can say using various tests that one model is statistically significantly better than another model. ❋ Unknown (2010)
Thus it seems to me that the relative likelihoods mostly give information about that particular connection or disconnection, and not much about the rest of the tree which should apply roughly equally to both models, and hence cancel out. ❋ Unknown (2010)
